Delays in air transport systems have a significant impact on the safety of aviation. We propose to use a trajectory of airplanes to estimate time of airplane delay. Surveillance data is obtained using the Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast receiver. A network of software defined radios is used to receive position reports of particular airspace user transmitted by airplane transponder of Mode 1090ES. Linear regression with a spline function is used for airplane trajectory approximation and time synchronization. Delays are estimated based on rapid changing of airplane altitude with respect to runway elevation in comparison with a scheduled time. Statistical data of airplane take-off time, landing time, and flight duration based on numerous historical flights is analyzed. Probabilities of airplane delays during take-off and landing are estimated with a help of the Kernel density function. Proposed approach for probability estimation of aircraft departures and arrivals delays can be useful in air traffic management and airline planning for efficient usage of aviation transport system.
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Language:
English
Type
Refereed Journal Publications
Firstpage Number
363
Lastpage Number
377
Keywords
Transport, Aviation , Air traffic, delays, Big data, Automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast, Software defined radio, Airplane trajectory, Linear regression, Spline function, Kernel density estimator , Probability density function
Gervasi O. et al. (eds) Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2021. ICCSA 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science
Volume
12950
Year of publishing
2021
Citation
DSTU
Ostroumov I.V., Kuzmenko N.S., Sushchenko O., Zaliskyi M., Solomentsev O., Averyanova Yu., Zhyla S., Pavlikov V., Tserne E., Volosyuk V., Dergachov K., Havrylenko O., Shmatko O., Popov A., Ruzhentsev N., Kuznetsov B., Nikitina T.A Probability Estimation of Aircraft Departures and Arrivals Delays. Gervasi O. et al. (eds) Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2021. ICCSA 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science. . № 12950. P. 363-377 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-86960-1_26 .
IEEE
I.V. Ostroumov et al., "A Probability Estimation of Aircraft Departures and Arrivals Delays," in Gervasi O. et al. (eds) Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2021. ICCSA 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 12950, , pp. 363-377 , doi:10.1007/978-3-030-86960-1_26.
Harvard
Ostroumov I.V., Kuzmenko N.S., Sushchenko O., Zaliskyi M., Solomentsev O., Averyanova Yu., Zhyla S., Pavlikov V., Tserne E., Volosyuk V., Dergachov K., Havrylenko O., Shmatko O., Popov A., Ruzhentsev N., Kuznetsov B., and Nikitina T., 2021, 9. A Probability Estimation of Aircraft Departures and Arrivals Delays. In Gervasi O. et al. (eds) Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2021. ICCSA 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 12950 (pp. 363-377).
Springer
Ostroumov, I.V., Kuzmenko, N.S., Sushchenko, O., Zaliskyi, M., Solomentsev, O., Averyanova, Yu., Zhyla, S., Pavlikov, V., Tserne, E., Volosyuk, V., Dergachov, K., Havrylenko, O., Shmatko, O., Popov, A., Ruzhentsev, N., Kuznetsov, B., Nikitina, T.: A Probability Estimation of Aircraft Departures and Arrivals Delays. Gervasi O. et al. (eds) Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2021. ICCSA 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 12950, 363-377 (2021). doi:10.1007/978-3-030-86960-1_26.
Ivan OSTROUMOV, DSc and PhD